EDUCATION

The members and president of the jury warmly congratulate Hugo ORIOLA for his brilliant thesis defense which focuses on the direct or indirect impact of the actions of the central bank on the outcome of the elections.

RESEARCH

Why is it so difficult to reform pensions in France? A reflection by Anne Lavigne, Professor of Economics at the LÉO and Advisor to the COR from 2016 to 2022

RESEARCH

Economy in Orléans: the LEO and the future university campus will open on the Porte-Madeleine site in September 2025

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The Orléans Economics Laboratory is a host team at the University of Orléans.

It has about a hundred members, whose research covers three main areas of expertise:

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Latest publications

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A tool for economists to make the search for conferences and special issues more efficient and transparent

Jean-Charles Bricongne, Diyar Can, Marwan Menaa, Guillaume de Rouville, Janna Bengouirah, Ismaël Fall


2025-08-25

Each year, hundreds of economics conferences, workshops, and seminars take place around the world. For researchers, timely access to clear information-especially regarding calls for papers and special issues-is essential to target the right venues and improve their chances of publication. Organizers also benefit from reaching the right contributors to maintain the quality and relevance of their events. ConfWatcher is a tool designed specifically for economists to meet this need. It combines web scraping, text analysis and generative artificial intelligence via large language models (LLMs) to automatically identify and monitor relevant academic events. The platform focuses on high-quality conferences organized by central banks, international organizations, journals, research centers, and professional associations. With its simple and userfriendly interface, ConfWatcher helps economists stay informed, plan submissions more strategically, and connect with the most valuable opportunities in their field.

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La capitalisation collective permet-elle une équité intergénérationnelle ? L’exemple de la réforme des fonds de pension aux Pays-Bas

Anne Lavigne


Revue d'économie financière - 2025-08

Le Parlement néerlandais a approuvé une réforme majeure des régimes de retraite professionnelle en juin 2023. Jusqu’alors, ces fonds de pension étaient gérés en capitalisation, mais garantissaient aux affiliés une prestation définie, analogue aux annuités des régimes de retraite fonctionnant en répartition. Bien que les règles de calcul des prestations aient été progressivement durcies pour les salariés, la garantie d’une pension certaine pesait sur les employeurs qui supportaient in fine les risques de placement financier et de longévité des affiliés. La réforme contraint les régimes de retraite professionnelle à transformer les fonds à prestations définies en fonds collectifs à cotisations définies (collective defined contributions – CDC) d’ici le 1er janvier 2028. Ses principaux objectifs visent à réduire les risques financiers pour les employeurs, à mieux les répartir entre les générations et à assurer la soutenabilité des régimes dans un contexte de vieillissement de la population et d’incertitude économique. Notre article se propose d’analyser cette réforme sous l’angle de l’équité intergénérationnelle, dont l’objectif est de répartir équitablement les risques de marché et de longévité entre actifs et retraités, pour éviter que les fluctuations économiques ou l’allongement de l’espérance de vie ne pèsent uniquement sur une seule génération, en particulier sur les jeunes.
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Wine must yields as indicators of May to July climate in Europe, 1416–1988

Christian Pfister, Stefan Brönnimann, Laurent Litzenburger, Peter Thejll, Andres Altwegg, Rudolf Brázdil, Andrea Kiss, Erich Landsteiner, Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist, Thomas Pliemon


2025-07-22

Abstract. Narrative historical records of wine production in Central Europe date back to 1200. The extent to which such data can be used as proxy data for summer temperatures is being explored. Here, we investigated taxes paid to the authorities in the French-Luxembourg Moselle region, Germany and the Swiss Plateau over the last few centuries drawing on 11 regional series from the early 15th merged into three supra-regional series: (1) the Moselle series, starting in 1416 and consisting of data from the former city-republic of Metz (France) and the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg; (2) the series for Germany, starting in 1511 and mainly originating from the former city-state of Heilbronn; and (3) the third series, starting in 1529 and representing production on the Swiss Plateau. The residuals of the supra-regional yield series were averaged, divided into seven classes, and multiplied by five quality classes. Yield quality indices (YQI) varying between 35 (large and excellent) and 1 (small and undrinkable) century to 1988. We detrended the data to compensate for longer-term biases. The homogenised series were significantly correlated with temperatures between May and July. Regression analysis of the composite series revealed that yield and quality primarily depend on the climate conditions from May to July as well as on those in June of the previous year. Crops with a YQI > 28 (rated "good" by traditional winegrowers) were related to above-average May–July temperatures, early grape harvest dates and high tree-ring maximum latewood density resulting from frequent anticyclonic weather situations. Crops with YQI > 10 could not be uncritically assigned to cold summers since winter, and spring frosts often reduced yields without affecting quality. Severe crop failures sometimes triggered witch hunts. In summary, narrative evidence on wine production allows reconstructions based on tree-rings to be specified and verified.
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Is the Contact Effect Related to Age?

Raùl Magni-Berton, Abel François, R. Frans Leny Sawadogo


2025-06-30

This chapter examines how age influences the contact effect in shaping tolerance toward immigrants, using French data from the 2017 European Values Survey. While contact theory posits that frequent interactions with immigrants generally increase tolerance, the findings reveal a nuanced relationship. A higher share of immigrants in a district correlates with greater tolerance, but this effect diminishes for young immigrants (15–24 years), often leading to lower tolerance. Interestingly, respondents’ age does not significantly affect their reaction to immigrant proportions. These results challenge utilitarian perspectives, suggesting that hostility toward young immigrants is rooted in personal experiences rather than economic logic.
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Advancing credit portfolio strategies : insights on corporate actions, asset ranking and interest rate hedging

Mathis Linger


2025-06-27

The evolution of credit markets, driven by regulatory reforms, trading electronification, and the increasing availability of data, has reshaped the landscape for asset managers. This thesis contributes to the advancement of systematic credit strategies by investigating credit risk dynamics, machine learning model design, and interest rate hedging techniques.The first contribution examines the impact of corporate action announcements—such as stock buybacks, dividends, and mergers & acquisitions—on credit default swap spreads. Quantifying abnormal spread movements around these events allows for the disentangling of wealth transfer from signaling effects, providing insights into the mechanisms driving credit market reactions.The second contribution focuses on improving asset ranking models for long-short portfolio construction. Traditional learning-to-rank algorithms favor top-ranked assets while neglecting underperformers, creating challenges for market-neutral strategies. This thesis proposes refined loss functions that enhance ranking symmetry across the full asset distribution, thereby improving portfolio balance and performance.The third contribution introduces a multi-task neural network framework that unifies asset ranking and portfolio weighting within a single optimization model. In contrast to conventional two-step approaches, this framework simultaneously optimizes both ranking and allocation, resulting in more efficient investment decisions.Finally, this thesis explores the relationship between equity and corporate bond markets by decomposing their correlation into credit risk and interest rate sensitivity components. Since these drivers vary across credit qualities and market conditions, this thesis proposes two adaptive interest rate hedging strategies. These strategies outperform traditional duration-convexity hedging by dynamically adjusting hedge ratios in response to evolving market regimes.These contributions collectively advance systematic credit investing by integrating financial expertise with advanced quantitative techniques. The findings offer asset managers practical methodologies for improving credit trading strategies in an increasingly data-driven and complex financial environment.
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La réforme des fonds de pension aux Pays-Bas : état des lieux et prospective

Anne Lavigne


2025-06-25

Le Parlement néerlandais a approuvé une réforme majeure des régimes de retraite professionnelle en juin 2023. Jusqu’alors, ces fonds de pension étaient gérés en capitalisation, mais garantissaient aux affiliés une prestation définie, analogue aux annuités des régimes fonctionnant en répartition. La réforme contraint les régimes de retraite professionnelle à transformer les fonds à prestations définies en fonds collectifs à cotisations définies d’ici le 1er janvier 2028. Cet article analyse la réforme en mettant l’accent sur l’équité intergénérationnelle, l’objectif étant de répartir équitablement les risques de marché et de longévité entre actifs et retraités, pour éviter que les fluctuations économiques ou l’allongement de l’espérance de vie ne pèsent uniquement sur une seule génération, en particulier sur les jeunes. Une dernière partie, plus exploratoire, la possibilité de transposer cette réforme dans le système de retraite français.
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Research Documents

> All documents

A tool for economists to make the search for conferences and special issues more efficient and transparent

Jean-Charles Bricongne, Diyar Can, Marwan Menaa, Guillaume de Rouville, Janna Bengouirah, Ismaël Fall


2025-08-25

Wine must yields as indicators of May to July climate in Europe, 1416–1988

Christian Pfister, Stefan Brönnimann, Laurent Litzenburger, Peter Thejll, Andres Altwegg, Rudolf Brázdil, Andrea Kiss, Erich Landsteiner, Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist, Thomas Pliemon


2025-07-22

La réforme des fonds de pension aux Pays-Bas : état des lieux et prospective

Anne Lavigne


2025-06-25

Optimal Green Policy-mix

Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard, Nicolas Clootens, Daria Onori


2025-03-11

Dynamic and spillover effects of armed conflicts on renewable energy in Subsaharan Africa

Alfred Nandnaba


2025-02-11

How do microfinance and economic development mutually support each other? A Panel VAR approach in developing economies

Mehdi Mahmoudi, Nicolae-Bogdan Ianc


2025

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