Preliminary steps for projecting public pensions’ sustainability : calibrating a dynamic microsimulation model for the prospective and retrospective simulation of Argentina’s labour market (2003-2014)
Mercredi | 2015-02-11 salle B103, 12h-14h Leonardo Eric CALCAGNO The aim of this paper is to lay the foundations of a prospective analysis that will draw perspectives on Argentina’s Pay-As-You-Go pension system. After a brief description of the country’s pension system, this paper develops a dynamic microsimulation model and calibrates it with a household-level quarterly survey data, the EPH. The calibration is done both on a micro level (by modelling individual transition probabilities between labour-market states) and on a macro […]